Counting Down for the Tyrannic Regime in Tehran

President Obama this week has urged the US Senate to pass a bill - currently is being debated in the Senate - to clear the way for signing a nuclear pact with Russia. He called the treaty "imperative for the US national security."

Interestingly the debate in Washington has coincided with other - apparently separate but well-woven - developments at the world stage. First and significant for us in Australia was the visit by the US Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton, along with her Cabinet colleague the Secretary of Defense - Robert Gates. They were here to discuss a greater military coöperation between Australia and the US. Both sides emphasized on a stronger military ties which may be translated to a stronger US military presence in South-East Asia. This, based on China's global activities including in the region, should have understandably happened earlier. However, my guess is the White House had been carefully studying its arch rivals and calculating proper responses accordingly. What it meant is the US foreign policy-making-machine had been mixing all the available economical and security ingredients and put them into its foreign-policy-oven. What Ms. Clinton announced last week in Australia, and the president adamantly said on the importance of the nuclear pact with Russia are both - I believe - the end products out of the oven. The products are finally presented to world for tasting. There is a fundamental shift in policy regarding Russia though; and understandably so.

Comparing the Missiles-Defense-Shield-Program of the Bush presidency, seen by the Russians as a direct threat to their national security, president Obama has apparently walked away from it. Not only did that, he has also invited Russia to join a similar program which expands all over the European countries to protect them from evils in Tehran. But I would suggest it is not the president by himself alone behind the idea today. It was - I believe - probably the entire US political machine that reached a turning point in 2008 - at the time when Russia invaded Georgia. Projected by the current Prime Minister of Russia Viladimir Putin - president at the time - back then by his uncompromising action over Georgia; the alternative was unimaginable. That caused the US to change course in relation to its arch rival of the Cold War. Since then it has received good - but calculated - responses from Moscow.

And today in light of increased feasibility of using force, in order to stop Tehran's generals making a Big-Bomb and consequently endangering the world peace and stability, against the tyrannic regime of Mullas in Tehran, Russia's role has been magnified. In any event relating to Tehran, Russia would, undoubtedly, be a serious player. US now seems to acknowledge that fact, and accords Russia with incentives - rather than deterrents in case of China - such as the nuclear pact with a further option to coöperate with or even joining the NATO in future. The incentives may also deem necessary in the wake of a recent new development - the deployment of M1 Tanks to Afghanistan by the US after almost 10 years war - reported by the Washington Post. Russia needed its insurance policy in case of any significant escalation in the existing war in Afghanistan or should a new conflict with the tyrannic regime in Tehran triggered. The bell is ringing loud and clear for the regime in Tehran.
Notwithstanding of existing hurdles the tyrannic regimes are unacceptable in the Middle East and must be dealt with accordingly; especially Iran. Counting down for the regime in Tehran has long been started.

Are we heading towards a new conflict?

After a lengthy delay, the next nuclear discussion meeting between Iran and the 5+1 countries (the US, the UK, France, China, Russia plus Germany) is scheduled for December 02. Before that, I would like to draw some attentions to some existing discrepancies.

After the rigged presidential election last year, the legitimacy of the president Ahmadi Nejad's government has been stripped off by the Iranian people. Tens of millions of whom, world was witnessing, on streets of Iranian cities chanting against Ahmadi Nejad and the Islamic establishment. Now, a representative coming from Iran to represent the country has no mandate from the people of Iran. He would then be only capable of representing an illegitimate government. He should therefore be received as such only. He comes in his capacity as representative of Ali Khamenei - the Supreme Leader - Ahmadi Nejad and a small number of military and security people who orchestrated the election coup last year. These are the people whom committed enormous crimes against Iranians since then; and international and human rights law would define them as criminals against humanity. Iranians do not recognise the government runs by these people. The US has also recently signaled that "changes in circumstances" have affected any future negotiation; which probably should be interpreted as of meaning of the foresaid.

Furhermore and as a matter of fact, the very legitimacy of the Islamic regime itself with Ali Khamenei, as Wali Faghih or the Supreme Leader, has been undermined by the majority of people. And the legitimacy of this regime will never be restored unless the regime agrees to hold a referendum under a UN's mandate asking the Iranian people if they want such theocratic regime in Tehran. The chance of regime entertains such a demand is zero; simply because it knows better than anyone else that it has no legitimacy whatsoever. It knows very well that as soon as it removes the lancet from the people's throat; there wouldn't be an Islamic regime in existence anymore. This view is supported by the fact that close to 70+% of the Iran's current 70 millions population are under 35 years of age. This corresponds to more than 49 millions of the country's population whom had not been born, or must have had been under age of 5 years, at the time of so-called revolution in 1979. Notably this huge chunk of the population have got nothing to do with the establishment of the current Islamic regime except being oppressed by it. These people mostly formed those millions on streets of Iranian cities last year protesting against Ali Khameneei, the Supreme Leader, and the very existence of the Islamic regime. Iran belongs to them; they are the true owners of the country. And they did not vote for Ahmadi Nejad.

Considering the view point of the 5+1 countries at the coming up meeting, it would be imprudent by any standard to ignore these numbers; and think such an unstable government is capable of holding any meaningful negotiation on behalf of these people and their country. Nonetheless, according to signals already received from the world community since the election, I tend to believe that the 5+1 heeds the same view, though it ostensibly negotiates with this government. It has visibly avoided actions which inimically affect the interests of the Iranian people. I trust the new sanctions measured against the regime have been designed to serve that goal too.

At the negotiating table the 5+1 is facing some serious questions. Questions are included but not limited to: what an illegitimate government of Ahmadi Nejad has or is indeed able to offer without the support of its people? How stable such a government or regime are? How much can we bet on an old horse? Can we afford to be complacent in light of their active pursue of nuclear device?

All in all, an illegitimate government or its regime can not give what they don't have. The guarantee and authority lie with the people of Iran.

Please don't ever try again!

Islamic Republic Generals Are Contemplating A Dangerous Game

It was in news today that Mr. Manochehr Mottaki, Foreign Minister of the Islamic regime of Iran, has traveled to Nigeria. The purpose of his trip was to sorting out the recent crisis of heavy-arms shipment to the country which is believed to have been loaded in the port city of Bandar Abbas, south of Iran.

Reports suggested that two Iranian business men were purportedly behind the shipment. However, whoever has a little knowledge about Iran tells you that these individuals have not been in a position to simply ship such a military cargo out of the country. Unless of course they had the shipment authorised beforehand. Such authorisation could have only been given at the highest level of government and military - most likely the Revolutionary Guards Corp (RGC). That is why, perhaps, the request made by the Nigerian authorities to have access and interview the individuals involved, now took refuge in the Islamic regime's Embassy in Abuja, was categorically denied by Mr. Mottaki. His government and his fellow revolutionary guards friends in Tehran are worry, and they should be, about the out-comes of such interviews.

Nevertheless, I am neither really concerned about the real shipper or shippers of the cargo nor its contents. It is simply because being concerned about these are just time wasting exercise. What really concerns me though is the mindset of military people in Iran. That is those who last year did the coup d'etat against the people of Iran. Those who took Iran and its people hostage. Those who complacently think that they have established themselves as a tainted military regime; and the game is over! Those who by the support of their regional terrorist organisations led to believe that they have the instability of the Middle East at their finger tips; and now try to reach out their fingers at the instability-button of Africa and beyond.

That is a dangerous game this little minority in Tehran is contemplating. This game is my real concern; and I strongly believe that it should be the concern of the peaceful world as well. I am sure; it is. But there is a simple enough solution for the dilemma; only Tehran tries to depict it as unthinkable.

A Terrorist's Blunder

It seems to me that those billions of dollars of Iranians' money the Islamic regime in Tehran has spent to create and maintain the Lebanese Hezbollah, terrorist organisation, over the last three decades has returned its dividend. Beside sponsoring terror operations, it has also made the Hezbollah leader, Hassan Nasrollah, confused. Two days ago, he called Iran an Arab country! "There is nothing Persian about Iran", he said.

I can only envisage two possibilities for such a blunder. First, since Hezbollah is the main suspect in the investigation currently undertaken by the UN tribunal commissioned to investigate the murder of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafigh al-Harriri; Nasrollah himself is under immense international pressure. Nasrollah has recently rejected further access to his lieutenants. However and regardless of his rejection the tribunal is closing on his lieutenants, and he has visibly panicked. After all he is the head of this terrorist organisation and understandably under his command nothing would have been executed without his blessing. He has all motivations to have simply wanted to divert the international attention away from himself - or perhaps his godfathers in Tehran!

The second possibility on the other hand may well be related to the pressure on his godfathers in Tehran. Representative of whom, appointed president Ahmadi Nejad, was in Lebanon recently. While he was there, tension was on the rise all over the region. President al-Assad of Syria, Nasrollah himself and even the current Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Harriri, the son of the late Rafigh Harriri, all talked about the fragile political situation of the Middle East. Ahmadi Nejad has taken his government domestic troubles to the region - mainly Lebanon. His government and the Islamic regime are under pressure both domestically and internationally. On the domestic front, since the last year election coup they have lost their legitimacy. Millions of Iranians on streets of Iranian cities were chanting against the so-called Supreme Leader and his appointee president.

At International level they are on the collision course with the international community over their nuclear stand off. The interesting point however is that they are unable to divorce this challenge from their domestic problems - human and democratic rights for the Iranian people strongly demanded at the last ballot boxes. Undoubtedly the international community has heard the Iranians' wish and responded accordingly. The UN Security Council and the US have drawn the yet toughest sanctions against the regime of Tehran. The new sanctions have mainly targeted the Revolutionary Guards Corp and its generals. However, since the generals have their hands all over the country's economy, these new measures will have negative effects on almost all aspects of the life of ordinary people on streets. And perhaps this is the nexus which connects the dots between Ahmadi Nejad's recent trip to Lebanon, talks of rising tension in the region and the Nasrollah's blunder.

Notwithstanding of these possibilities and/or the intention behind his nonsense talk about Iran; Hassan Nasrollah must seek new fathers elsewhere. Because human rights and democracy for Iran are inevitable. And a democratic Iran does not need a terrorist and his organisation; and will definitely not spend a single cent on them!

Millions who opposed his authority are microbes; uttered the Islamic Republic Supreme Leader

The Islamic Republic Supreme Leader, Ali Khameneei, has recently visited the holy city of Ghom–the Vatican City of Shiite Muslim in Iran. And there he called the Iranian people; "microbes".

The visit was his first after 10 years. It came amid his legitimacy crisis in which he is battling since the last year presidential election in Iran. Since the election and his siding with president Ahmadi Nejad and the Revolutionary Guards' generals, he has been seen responsible for all the atrocities committed against young Iranians. He is also known as the master mind behind the generals' soft coup d'etat. Because of these, his reputation in and out of the country has been dented beyond repair. During the last year protests people on streets of Iranian cities have torn his posters down, burned them, and shouted; "death to Khameneei".

This forced the organizers of his trip to take paid-people, this has become a normal exercise for him and his president Ahmadi Nejad wherever they travel inside Iran, to the city before his arrival just to make a welcome parade! It was during one of his appearances in the city when he dared to call his opponents, the people of Iran and their Green Movement, "microbes". It wasn't the first time, however, his appointed president Ahmadi Nejad and many of his generals have done the same before; insulting the people of Iran and calling them names!

Nevertheless, and regardless of his insult to the people, the visit has been seen by many as a desperate attempt on his part to reaffirm his authority and legitimacy by seeking the Clergy support. He now, in the face of unknown repercussions of the most stringent sanctions yet taken against his tyrannic regime by the UN-US, more than ever needs the support. It is vital for him. But his authority and leadership have both been undermined by many of the same clerics whom he sought their support. And while so far he and his gangs have managed to oppress those clerics; he and his generals seem visibly anxious. Their anxiety reflects in his out of control calling millions who opposed him "microbes". He and his president Ahmadi Nejad are extremely worry about the consequences of the new UN-US sanctions. They have in many occasions threatened people against any possible civil unrest resulting from the sanctions.

Nonetheless, he certainly knows that selling of the bashing, stabbing, torturing, raping and the killing of hundreds of Iranians, in the name of securing the so-called Islamic Regime, to many prominent clerics in the Iran's Vatican is not an easy task. Many of these clerics have publicly denounced him. After all most of them had formed the view over decades, or at least purport it, that the Islamic Regime is a holy regime! And they have apparently been preaching the god's words for their entire life. And now they are witnessing such a brutality against people in the name of god and his religion, Islam!

To sum up, while it is true that so far he has been able to silence those clerics who oppose him using his gangs including militias, Basijis (under control and the direction of the Sepah Pasdaran (the Revolutionary Guards), which have constantly attacked, damaged properties, and injured the clerics' followers; there is not much time and surely not many tricks left up his sleeves. Martin Luter king Jr is absolutely right "that unarmed truth and unconditional love will have the final word in reality ... that is why right, temporarily defeated, is stronger than evil triumphant."

Islamic Republic Revolutionary Guards threaten the World Peace

Following this-week Supreme Leader's remarks about the possible retaliations against the western interests world wide, should the Islamic Republic regime(the Shiite Taliban) in Tehran being attacked, number of high ranking military and political figures have also threaten the West in the last 72 hours. The new threats came amid growing speculations over using military means against the regime in order to stop it acquiring a Big Bomb.

Among them was the unelected president Ahmadi Nejad who as usual used his antique rhetoric and suggested that on such event "the entire earth would be a battle ground!" He sounded more like a child playing a war game with his peers than the president of the most educated and politically conscious country in the Middle East. No one, should, takes this guy seriously.

Others such as the Shiite Taliban Joint Chief of Staff and his head of Revolutionary Guards were amongst those who came out and made the same empty threats as their president did. All of whom reminisced Saddam Hussein and his generals before they went on hunting holes.

Nevertheless, weeks ago there was more action than talk when a Japanese Oil Tanker carrying 270000 tons of crude oil had been attacked by an unknown object discharged from an unknown source in the Hormuz Strait-the entrance to the Oman Sea from the Persian Gulf. The attack was not considered significant then since it had not caused serious injuries to crew or damages to the ship. However, implied message was clear.

The attack happened just days after the European Union countries had unanimously passed their strongest measures yet against the Taliban regime of Tehran. Taliban in Tehran knew that the new measures were designed to cripple its economy which is controlled by the Revolutionary Guards and their associates. The economy which finances the biggest terrorist organisations in the world. Terrorist organisations such as the Lebanese Hezbollah and the Palestinian Hamas.

All in all Taliban in Tehran and its generals must understand a simple fact; Iranian people, their country and the world peace are not to be taken hostage by them!